Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan on 🟦☁️)

@BrendanNyhan · Hanover, NH · joined 23 Oct 2009

@Dartmouth political scientist & @BrightLineWatch co-director. Before: @upshotNYT; @UMich; @CJR; Spinsanity https://t.co/uYqX3jPmks

79 667Followers

16 450Following

113 627Posts total

287.9KViews on collected posts

Latest posts

Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan on 🟦☁️)@BrendanNyhan19 Sep

Profiles in cowardice 2K views · 7 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan on 🟦☁️)@BrendanNyhan19 Sep

Makes me think of Stanislav Petrov, one of the greatest heroes in history. We're going to need to build systems that don't rely on people like him to stop a rush to judgment. 1.7K views · 4 likes · 1 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan on 🟦☁️)@BrendanNyhan18 Sep

Results from the 2026 Metaculus Cup forecasting tournament - AIs (in orange) dominate the top set https://t.co/QIsN8McQvu https://t.co/s39Blm9mtq

2.4K views · 7 likes · 3 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan on 🟦☁️)@BrendanNyhan18 Sep

GOP rep. Jeff Leach called Bo French’s post racist and saying it made him sick. He’ll vote for him anyway. House speaker Dustin Burrows will vote the GOP ticket “full stop” Few top Republicans willing to break with Bo French despite condemnations Via @serrano_alej https://t.

43.2K views · 125 likes · 65 reposts · 39 replies Open on X →

Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan on 🟦☁️)@BrendanNyhan17 Sep

What's the best demonstration of use cases for Muse versus frontier models if I'm already doing the tasks one might use this type of agent for in Claude Code, etc.? 5.5K views · 6 likes · 0 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan on 🟦☁️)@BrendanNyhan17 Sep

Muse is genuienly really good. I can't believe Meta was first to this type of thing. How did they beat Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI to it? I'm sure they will all release their version of it too, but right now Muse is way more impressive than I thought it would be. 225.8K views · 1.7K likes · 45 reposts · 125 replies Open on X →

Brendan Nyhan (@BrendanNyhan on 🟦☁️)@BrendanNyhan20 Aug

🚨New Bright Line Watch report🚨 Key findings -Expert ratings of US democracy up from 57 to 60, highest of 2nd term -But 41% say US has unfair, tilted elections & weak checks -Public mostly confident in 2026 election; Ds higher but party gap smaller than past elections 🧵 below ht

7.4K views · 6 likes · 4 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Against accounts of the same size

7 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.

Median views5 492this account922median for 10K–100K

Reach, %6.89%this account3.42%median for 10K–100K

Engagement, %0.35%this account1.53%median for 10K–100K

Metric	This account	Median for 10K–100K	Ratio
Median views per post	5 492	922	5.96×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	6.89%	3.42%	2.02×
Engagement rate	0.35%	1.53%	0.23×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

7.4K20 Aug

225.8K17 Sep

5.5K

43.2K18 Sep

2.4K

1.7K19 Sep

Last 7 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.18%20 Aug

0.84%17 Sep

0.16%

0.58%18 Sep

0.42%

0.29%19 Sep

0.35%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.53%.

What the audience does

Likes79.7%1 861 in total

Reposts5.1%118 in total

Replies7.2%168 in total

Quotes1.4%32 in total

Bookmarks6.7%156 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.