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David Keller, CMT ✓

@DKellerCMT · Redmond, WA · joined 01 Feb 2017

Host @ Market Misbehavior | President @ Sierra Alpha Research | Former StockCharts-Fidelity-Bloomberg | 🎺 Musician 🎶 | Don't take life too seriously 🤪

52 716Followers
419Following
12 445Posts total
33.5KViews on collected posts

Latest posts

#NAAIM Exposure Index down to 72% this week, down from over 100% just three weeks ago. Conclusion? Money managers in this survey have taken their foot off the accelerator, and are now stepping on the brakes. https://t.co/qg77qWqzZr
4K views · 54 likes · 4 reposts · 6 replies Open on X →
Pretty major shift this week in the #AAII survey, with only 29% bulls compared to 53% bears. Highest bearish reading since the March 2026 market low, and the widest spread of Bears-Bulls since April 2025! https://t.co/i5C9k9YvgP
4K views · 54 likes · 8 reposts · 4 replies Open on X →
Now less than 30% of $SPX members remaining above their 50-day moving averages. Last time that happened? Mid-March 2026, a couple weeks before the low. 🤔 https://t.co/BjvsJg14AS
9.7K views · 181 likes · 20 reposts · 15 replies Open on X →
Investors are suddenly getting VERY bearish. The latest #AAII survey shows 53% bears, a level we haven’t seen since the March low. At the same time, the $SPX just reclaimed 7600 after yesterday’s breakdown, technology surged, and the $VIX dropped back below 16. Is the market h
3.2K views · 24 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →
A chart and a jazz score aren't as different as you'd think. They use the exact same part of the brain. Before Kyle Crystal became a portfolio manager and CMT, he spent years training as a jazz guitarist, and that background quietly shapes how he reads every price chart he looks 2.6K views · 12 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →
Tesla $TSLA following yesterday's banger of a breakout with a major pullback. Lack of upside follow-through implies a false breakout, until and unless $TSLA can push back above $370 on stronger momentum. https://t.co/8rnM42cYf6 1.1K views · 5 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
Bulls are up to 40% in the #AAII survey. Not overwhelmingly bullish, but more middle-of-the-road reading for a bull market phase. Only 2% difference between bulls and bears suggests a mixed bag of sentiment! https://t.co/CWA0xTQzQQ 1.4K views · 8 likes · 2 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
Which scenario plays out for the Nasdaq 100 $QQQ? We've laid out four scenarios between now and mid-October, from the super bullish to the super bearish. Watch the four scenarios, vote for the one you see as most likely and explain your thinking, then explore what others have h 1.6K views · 8 likes · 1 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →
@DKellerCMT Great take! @DKellerCMT 10 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
@DKellerCMT Great chart! 120 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
@DKellerCMT Eerily low volumes$ 6 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
CHART THIS with Dave Keller Thursday 9/3/26 https://t.co/DwXivT3uDr 2.4K views · 10 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →
All the Musk names are rallying this morning, and $SPCX is dangerously close to breaking above the opening day price $150. This IPO has followed a classic pattern: initial spike higher, big drop lower, then a consolidation around an equilibrium price. $SPCX > 150 would imply ht 3.5K views · 41 likes · 3 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Against accounts of the same size

13 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.

Median views2 418this account924median for 10K–100K
Reach, %4.59%this account3.62%median for 10K–100K
Engagement, %0.70%this account1.52%median for 10K–100K
MetricThis accountMedian for 10K–100KRatio
Median views per post2 4189242.62×
Reach (views ÷ followers)4.59%3.62%1.27×
Engagement rate0.70%1.52%0.46×

Others in this range →   Compare with another account →   How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

3.5K3 Sep
2.4K
6
120
104 Sep
1.6K
1.4K
1.1K
2.6K17 Sep
3.2K18 Sep
9.7K
4K
4K

Last 13 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

1.33%3 Sep
0.50%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%4 Sep
0.87%
0.70%
0.47%
0.54%17 Sep
0.82%18 Sep
2.22%
1.65%
1.62%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes71.1%397 in total
Reposts6.8%38 in total
Replies6.8%38 in total
Bookmarks15.2%85 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

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