Rafael R. Guthmann ✓

@GuthmannR

Economist (https://t.co/8S407DW9vk)

8 537Followers

1 002Following

10 755Posts total

31.3KViews on collected posts

Latest posts

Rafael R. Guthmann ✓@GuthmannR1 Sep

@GuthmannR @JustinSandefur child mortality rate is bs. US criteria is much much harder compared to other countries. And please compare asian american population life expectancy with china 123 views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Rafael R. Guthmann ✓@GuthmannR1 Sep

@GuthmannR @JustinSandefur I believe that the average car replacement cycle is becoming increasingly suitable as an indicator for comparing the quality of life of the working class in China and US. https://t.co/K4wNVjBw9p 146 views · 3 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Rafael R. Guthmann ✓@GuthmannR31 Aug

@JustinSandefur If you look at life expectancy: US 1964: 70.2 years China 2023: 78.0 years US 2023: 79.3 years If you look at child mortality rates: US 1964: 2.8% China 2024: 0.6% US 2024: 0.6% Electricity generation per capita (strongly correlated with GDP levels): US 1964: 2K views · 56 likes · 3 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Rafael R. Guthmann ✓@GuthmannR31 Aug

In PPP terms, China's GDP pc today is equivalent to the US in 1964. Taken at face value, its population is muuuch poorer than Americans back then (see graph). Thankfully, I think this comparison is a bit misleading... https://t.co/J4s8TprklU 29K views · 42 likes · 11 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →

Against accounts of the same size

4 posts from the last 90 days, next to the under 10K follower range. reaches fewer people than peers, but engages them much harder.

Median views1 092this account4 175median for under 10K

Reach, %12.80%this account250.82%median for under 10K

Engagement, %2.25%this account1.41%median for under 10K

Metric	This account	Median for under 10K	Ratio
Median views per post	1 092	4 175	0.26×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	12.80%	2.5× audience	0.05×
Engagement rate	2.25%	1.41%	1.59×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

29K31 Aug

1461 Sep

123

Last 4 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.22%31 Aug

3.04%

2.05%1 Sep

2.44%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for under 10K accounts is 1.41%.

What the audience does

Likes64.4%103 in total

Reposts8.8%14 in total

Replies5.0%8 in total

Quotes3.8%6 in total

Bookmarks18.1%29 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.