Hao HONG 洪灝, CFA ✓

@HAOHONG_CFA · Hong Kong · joined 22 May 2009

Person of the Year-Bloomberg BW;3xChina’s Most Influential Economist;3xEconomist of the Year-Asia Private Banker;“The man called China’s boom & bust”-Bloomberg

354 234Followers

932Following

4 425Posts total

278.7KViews on collected posts

Latest posts

Hao HONG 洪灝, CFA ✓@HAOHONG_CFA7 Sep

China is fiscally recapitalizing its big state banks. Basically, the MoF issues 300bn in special bonds to take part in the 350bn equity issuance by the banks/financial institutions. This is the third time in history China has recapitalized its banks: the first was in 2003, when 42.9K views · 174 likes · 20 reposts · 8 replies Open on X →

Hao HONG 洪灝, CFA ✓@HAOHONG_CFA2 Sep

洪灝：丙午赤马红羊里九月的疑难杂症。 https://t.co/qfz9B5z8vA

15:00

24.4K views · 75 likes · 14 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Hao HONG 洪灝, CFA ✓@HAOHONG_CFA2 Sep

在这个八月初的半小时演讲中，我讨论了泡沫如何产生，如何见顶，如何破灭；我六月中旬如何在预测全球半导体泡沫见顶崩裂。泡沫亙古不变，人性难移使然。以前如此，以后也一样。如果我们从历史中可以学到什么，那么就是我们其实什么都没有学到。 In this Chinese Ted Talk presentation recorded in https://t.co/jL3OhnMA1A

30:29

34.2K views · 176 likes · 33 reposts · 4 replies Open on X →

Hao HONG 洪灝, CFA ✓@HAOHONG_CFA18 Aug

China's economic data release yesterday was weak, and the consensus claimed it was “below expectations.” However, our leading indicator published for my research subscribers has been foretelling the slowdown for a while. If we see a slowdown is coming, then it’s not a https://t.

49.4K views · 170 likes · 30 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Hao HONG 洪灝, CFA ✓@HAOHONG_CFA31 Jul

@HAOHONG_CFA Teacher,， I just followed you please could you kindly follow back。 I would like to learn and grow alongside you. 205 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Hao HONG 洪灝, CFA ✓@HAOHONG_CFA30 Jul

We held a conference themed “Knowing When to Stop” (不如其已) in Beijing/Shanghai/Shenzhen from June 12 to June 14. KOSPI $EWY and $SOXX peaked between June 19 and June 26. KOSPI is now close to halved. 50.8K views · 41 likes · 2 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Hao HONG 洪灝, CFA ✓@HAOHONG_CFA20 Jun

@HAOHONG_CFA Five straight years of packed rooms tells you how starved people are for a clear macro read. Give us the one-liner: risk-on into year-end, or stay defensive? 1K views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Hao HONG 洪灝, CFA ✓@HAOHONG_CFA19 Jun

Over the last weekend, the 2H outlook conferences for my fans in Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen concluded successfully. Thousands attended this semi-annual event; many of them have been coming to see me for the past five years. This is a year of the Fiery Horse, destined for a

75.9K views · 31 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Against accounts of the same size

8 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 100K–1M follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.

Median views38 533this account4 148median for 100K–1M

Reach, %10.88%this account1.62%median for 100K–1M

Engagement, %0.40%this account1.34%median for 100K–1M

Metric	This account	Median for 100K–1M	Ratio
Median views per post	38 533	4 148	9.29×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	10.88%	1.62%	6.71×
Engagement rate	0.40%	1.34%	0.30×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

75.9K19 Jun

1K20 Jun

50.8K30 Jul

20531 Jul

49.4K18 Aug

34.2K2 Sep

24.4K

42.9K7 Sep

Last 8 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.04%19 Jun

0.00%20 Jun

0.09%30 Jul

0.49%31 Jul

0.41%18 Aug

0.62%2 Sep

0.38%

0.48%7 Sep

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 100K–1M accounts is 1.34%.

What the audience does

Likes60.3%668 in total

Reposts9.0%100 in total

Replies1.4%16 in total

Quotes0.7%8 in total

Bookmarks28.5%315 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.