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宏观边际MacroMargin

@MacroMargin · joined 26 Jul 2017

Macro Analyst ,聚焦中国宏观政策、美联储风向,跟踪分析边际变化。欢迎了解订阅宏观边际数据库、日报、政策周报👇

197 430Followers
626Following
4 058Posts total
489.9KViews on collected posts

Against accounts of the same size

8 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 100K–1M follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.

Median views37 006this account4 196median for 100K–1M
Reach, %18.74%this account1.72%median for 100K–1M
Engagement, %0.16%this account1.44%median for 100K–1M
MetricThis accountMedian for 100K–1MRatio
Median views per post37 0064 1968.82×
Reach (views ÷ followers)18.74%1.72%10.9×
Engagement rate0.16%1.44%0.11×

Others in this range →   Compare with another account →   How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

262.6K26 Aug
4.8K
1.1K
81727 Aug
59.8K4 Sep
83.7K
62.8K
14.2K

Last 8 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.12%26 Aug
0.10%
0.09%
0.73%27 Aug
0.21%4 Sep
0.06%
0.32%
0.77%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 100K–1M accounts is 1.44%.

What the audience does

Likes48.4%578 in total
Reposts5.1%61 in total
Replies13.0%155 in total
Quotes0.5%6 in total
Bookmarks32.9%393 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

非农超预期并不指向9月一定加息,仍要先看下周通胀数据。 首先,单月非农数据难改就业市场趋势,远没有下周的通胀数据重要。 其次,本月非农暴热,主要是因地方政府、教育的季节性短期影响,其次是世界杯影响的技术性回补,短期因素占了本月非农新增的绝大部分。 https://t.co/P1h8uDXj2T 14.2K views · 55 likes · 7 reposts · 46 replies 04 Sep 2026 · Open on X →
非农大超预期,再次打脸所有华尔街机构的预测模型... 当然我也被打脸,同时也打脸了之前有人认为会修改非农数据让数据支持降息的观点... https://t.co/TzNxZvXq1y 62.8K views · 141 likes · 6 reposts · 56 replies 04 Sep 2026 · Open on X →
今晚非农远没有下周通胀数据重要,但也会一定程度影响中间/鸽派官员的政策立场。 对于单月数据的预测难度很大,尤其是近两年的非农数据,各家机构的预测跟瞎猜没啥区别... 我个人倾向认为非农低于预期(或失业率略升)的概率略大, 一方面,上半年劳动力市场只是趋稳而不是走热; https://t.co/PqbHS13lYf 83.7K views · 35 likes · 1 reposts · 10 replies 04 Sep 2026 · Open on X →
frank分析得很好。不过我认为Warsh并不强烈倾向加息,他更多是墙头草、顺水推舟。 如果支持按兵不动的票更多,那么他就支持按兵不动, 如果支持加息的票更多,那他就支持加息。 Warsh并没有特别强烈的倾向 https://t.co/B80Vz2w4jq 59.8K views · 101 likes · 7 reposts · 17 replies 04 Sep 2026 · Open on X →
@MacroMargin 经济发展是不是以提高人民的生活水平和幸福感为目的?否则有实际意义? 没有强有力的促进就业和促进经济发展,解决眼下切肤之痛的措施和能力没有,经济发展不发展,对一般人有什么意义? 而这个不解决,什么信号都是狗屁,必然会落下为过去的唱赞歌,为错误粉饰的八股。 817 views · 4 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies 27 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
@MacroMargin 钟才文这类风向文章不用神化,但做宏观的人确实会盯得很紧 1.1K views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 26 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
@MacroMargin 说到雅江水电站,西藏天路今天涨了,自从去年8月见顶后,直接从高点腰斩再腰斩跌倒6元,真狠阿 https://t.co/XXFCjP0Tst 4.8K views · 4 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 26 Aug 2026 · Open on X →
https://t.co/JGd5gRC4bI 262.6K views · 237 likes · 40 reposts · 23 replies 26 Aug 2026 · Open on X →

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