Risk Expert tells the Truth about Climate ✓

@MarkCranfield_ · Bristol, England 🇬🇧 · joined 09 Jan 2014

10year+ manager of £20 million risk fund. Legal insurance risk assessor for 26 years. 55yo #BLM 🌈+ ally. 🚫No DMs

53 489Followers

57 849Following

109 097Posts total

78.4KViews on collected posts

Latest posts

Risk Expert tells the Truth about Climate ✓@MarkCranfield_18 Sep

It will never not be amazing that nearly everyone talks about net zero without the slightest clue what it means. It only takes an hour. One of the most profound examples that humans are fundamentally dumb creatures, programmed by evolution to blindly believe tribal elders. 1.5K views · 53 likes · 5 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →

Risk Expert tells the Truth about Climate ✓@MarkCranfield_18 Sep

"'If we can put a man on the moon, surely we can [decarbonise]'. This popular rhetorical analogy is in fact another profound category error. Transforming the energy economy is not like putting a dozen people on the moon a handful of times. It is like putting all of humanity on 1K views · 31 likes · 6 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

Risk Expert tells the Truth about Climate ✓@MarkCranfield_16 Sep

What should we do? The only thing we can do. Prepare. 4.3K views · 117 likes · 20 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →

Risk Expert tells the Truth about Climate ✓@MarkCranfield_16 Sep

Eventual global warming due solely to the greenhouse gases in today's atmosphere. 364 views · 9 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Risk Expert tells the Truth about Climate ✓@MarkCranfield_16 Sep

Fundamental misunderstanding. 782 views · 14 likes · 2 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Risk Expert tells the Truth about Climate ✓@MarkCranfield_16 Sep

The equivalent of this is already locked in by the greenhouse gases in today's atmosphere but trusted experts will tell you we need to cut emissions. 5.6K views · 84 likes · 11 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Risk Expert tells the Truth about Climate ✓@MarkCranfield_12 Apr 2025

When people say there's still hope or that the window of opportunity is closing, there's a misunderstanding of our situation at the most fundamental level. Since James Hansen said that humanity faces the equivalent of a direct impact by a giant asteroid in his 2012 TED talk, htt

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10.2K views · 118 likes · 47 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →

Risk Expert tells the Truth about Climate ✓@MarkCranfield_26 Mar 2024

James Hansen's original paper from Dec 2022 and the peer reviewed version. "Eventual global warming due to today’s GHG forcing alone – after slow feedbacks operate – is about 10°C." "decline of aerosol emissions since 2010 should increase the 1970–2010 global warming rate of ht

54.7K views · 354 likes · 122 reposts · 22 replies Open on X →

Risk Expert tells the Truth about Climate ✓@MarkCranfield_11 Jan 2022

Please don't be intimidated by the length of the list. Stored water and a 10kg bag of rice is much, much better than nothing. Food and water is by far the most important. 0 views · 742 likes · 117 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Against accounts of the same size

6 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. reaches fewer people than peers, but engages them much harder.

Median views1 264this account994median for 10K–100K

Reach, %2.36%this account3.82%median for 10K–100K

Engagement, %2.89%this account1.52%median for 10K–100K

Metric	This account	Median for 10K–100K	Ratio
Median views per post	1 264	994	1.27×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	2.36%	3.82%	0.62×
Engagement rate	2.89%	1.52%	1.91×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

54.7K26 Mar

10.2K12 Apr

5.6K16 Sep

782

364

4.3K

1K18 Sep

1.5K

Last 8 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.96%26 Mar

1.71%12 Apr

1.75%16 Sep

2.17%

2.47%

3.31%

3.89%18 Sep

4.20%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes61.3%780 in total

Reposts16.7%213 in total

Replies3.3%42 in total

Quotes2.7%34 in total

Bookmarks16.0%204 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

Against accounts of the same size

Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

Similar accounts