Noel Smith ✓

@NoelSmith

Institutional Investor, Market-Maker/Floor Trader, 20+ years. Founder of Chicago Options Market-Making, Prop and HFT firms at the CBOE & CME | Board Member

17 257Followers

2 054Following

9 808Posts total

1.2MViews on collected posts

Latest posts

Noel Smith ✓@NoelSmith12 Sep

@NoelSmith Who is "they" 22.4K views · 195 likes · 4 reposts · 6 replies Open on X →

Noel Smith ✓@NoelSmith12 Sep

@NoelSmith I know a lot of people are gonna turn this into conspiracy fodder but the obvious explanation is - the terrorists knew it was gonna happen and wanted to make a quick buck through intermediaries. 35.7K views · 168 likes · 3 reposts · 48 replies Open on X →

Noel Smith ✓@NoelSmith12 Sep

@NoelSmith Wait, a ton of people were buying puts from you at nosebleed premiums beforehand?? 48.3K views · 460 likes · 10 reposts · 17 replies Open on X →

Noel Smith ✓@NoelSmith12 Sep

I was the main counterparty for airline puts before/during the 9/11 attacks (I was in the World Trade Center building for lunch the day before); they were buying puts in $UAL and American Airlines for weeks before the attacks. Brokers would call me and ask for a bid, I sold some, 1.1M views · 4.8K likes · 580 reposts · 188 replies Open on X →

Against accounts of the same size

4 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.

Median views42 008this account924median for 10K–100K

Reach, %243.43%this account3.62%median for 10K–100K

Engagement, %0.77%this account1.52%median for 10K–100K

Metric	This account	Median for 10K–100K	Ratio
Median views per post	42 008	924	45.5×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	2.4× audience	3.62%	67.2×
Engagement rate	0.77%	1.52%	0.51×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

1.1M12 Sep

48.3K

35.7K

22.4K

Last 4 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.51%12 Sep

1.01%

0.63%

0.91%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes63.2%5 635 in total

Reposts6.7%597 in total

Replies2.9%259 in total

Quotes1.2%111 in total

Bookmarks25.9%2 309 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

Against accounts of the same size

Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

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