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Robert A. Pape

@ProfessorPape · Chicago · joined 23 Sep 2021

UChicago Professor of Political Science directs Chicago Project on Security & Threats, author Bombing To Win and writes substack: The Escalation Trap.

175 112Followers
2 622Following
1 276Posts total
131.2KViews on collected posts

Against accounts of the same size

10 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 100K–1M follower range. shown far beyond its own audience, and the audience reacts.

Median views11 080this account5 994median for 100K–1M
Reach, %6.33%this account2.51%median for 100K–1M
Engagement, %1.85%this account1.40%median for 100K–1M
MetricThis accountMedian for 100K–1MRatio
Median views per post11 0805 9941.85×
Reach (views ÷ followers)6.33%2.51%2.52×
Engagement rate1.85%1.40%1.32×

Others in this range →   Compare with another account →   How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

30.1K31 Aug
4.7K
746
17.5K
17.9K1 Sep
40.9K
368
142
130
18.9K2 Sep

Last 10 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

1.80%31 Aug
0.28%
0.80%
1.12%
0.81%1 Sep
2.97%
1.90%
4.93%
2.31%
2.59%2 Sep

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 100K–1M accounts is 1.40%.

What the audience does

Likes76.2%2 128 in total
Reposts12.3%342 in total
Replies4.9%138 in total
Quotes0.4%12 in total
Bookmarks6.1%171 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

Trump’s talking smack, while Iran controls Hormuz and the price of gas This is victory rhetoric meeting escalation reality https://t.co/ZJ7Ov4sXAH 18.9K views · 389 likes · 67 reposts · 31 replies 02 Sep 2026 @ProfessorPape https://t.co/udWmvdFZhl 130 views · 3 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 01 Sep 2026 @ProfessorPape You’re the idiot who blames suicide bombings on the US and not on suicidal murderous Islamists, right? https://t.co/KK7rQoGwCo 142 views · 6 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 01 Sep 2026 @ProfessorPape 🙄 https://t.co/zGBJfOivoO 368 views · 5 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies 01 Sep 2026 US bombing Iran for second day this week 1st US strike led to Gulf-Wide Iranian retaliation Expect a greater Iranian response this time Iran has US in the Escalation Trap and a no win scenario https://t.co/b5azNh4Xdt 40.9K views · 951 likes · 204 reposts · 50 replies 01 Sep 2026 Why is Putin threatening to attack Europe when this only makes his problems worse?   Find out why the world’s consummate cold, calculating realist is now losing power— and acting out in desperation Watch:   “Putin’s Blunder” https://t.co/a8XIHpKvGY 17.9K views · 103 likes · 15 reposts · 27 replies 01 Sep 2026 Is the global system collapsing? In my latest discussion, I dive deep into this eye-opening insights on the end of the world order and what comes next Don't miss this breakdown of where our future is headed #WorldOrder #Geopolitics #Future. https://t.co/gUXEXfOKr4 17.5K views · 162 likes · 19 reposts · 14 replies 31 Aug 2026 @ProfessorPape My man Pape batting a thousand, the only one out there that has accurately predicted every step of this conflict 746 views · 6 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 31 Aug 2026 Hormuz Goes Bang-- What Do the Strikes Mean? https://t.co/SScVTlwTPW 4.7K views · 11 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies 31 Aug 2026 BREAKING ANALYSIS: The US and Iran just traded direct military strikes for the first time in a month Brent crude has surged past $90/bbl as the Strait of Hormuz flashpoint re-ignites Who actually holds the strategic upper hand? Full brief on Escalation Trap Substack 30.1K views · 492 likes · 36 reposts · 12 replies 31 Aug 2026

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