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小陆师傅

@STANLEES4 · joined 13 Oct 2019

你说,明年的烟花会不会更美?

68 023Followers
782Following
5 970Posts total
205.7KViews on collected posts

Latest posts

有意思。 https://t.co/7c0Frxo5mh
936 views · 5 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
就讲个基于经济学上的合成谬误的笑话:我们都知道,工资是劳动供给和劳动需求共同决定的均衡价格,同时我们也都知道,中国现在女性的劳动参与率只有55%都不到,远低于中国男性的76%,所以在涉及到女性广泛就业的家政这个综合大类里的工资上,中国大陆地区,月嫂的工资在1万至3万这个区间,而家政阿姨和 https://t.co/DwIWSnCAWD
6.5K views · 43 likes · 6 reposts · 36 replies Open on X →
现在是男女矛盾激化,未来应该就是代际矛盾激化了,毕竟现在的财富大多都在老人手里,同时老人们的杠杆比较低,投资意愿也偏保守,所以每一次金融泡沫和危机后,老人和年轻人的财富差距反而被越拉越大。 11.2K views · 90 likes · 6 reposts · 32 replies Open on X →
@STANLEES4 你这个图片有点危险啊。让我想起一个老人说领袖 14 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
这几天的新闻看完,都有种“哈”的感觉。 10.3K views · 23 likes · 0 reposts · 37 replies Open on X →
@STANLEES4 但我觉得9月份保持不变的可能还是有的,因为加息根本改变不了什么 346 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
@STANLEES4 拿个拖鞋底抽他 236 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
@STANLEES4 决定权在川普手里 268 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
正如7月末我所在的团队一致认为,美国8月的通胀数据果然超出预期,而9月美联储果然该加息了。同时,我们也确认了美联储行动确实过晚,导致美债长端利率进一步上行,而风险资产也将面临更大的调整压力。 就沃什,果然是个外行,再不好好干,就是阿瑟·伯恩斯第二了。 17.8K views · 49 likes · 1 reposts · 54 replies Open on X →
@STANLEES4 肯定是9月,别问为什么,问就是玄学 🐶 599 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
@STANLEES4 这个决定对中国的主要压力集中在跨境资本流动、人民币汇率和国内货币政策空间这三个相互关联的渠道,而不是直接的贸易或地缘政治冲击。 1. 最直接的压力:美债长端利率上行 → 人民币贬值与资本外流压力加大 会后长端美债收益率明显走高、曲线陡峭化,意味着全球无风险利率中枢在抬升。 727 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
美联储7月会议维持利率不变,但内部鹰派力量进一步增强,三位票委投票支持加息25个基点。我们认为,本次会议最大的变化并非利率决议,而是沃什试图减少政策干预,更多依赖市场利率自发上升来收紧金融条件,将部分紧缩功能“外包”给市场。然而,在通胀持续高于目标的背景下,这种做法很容易削弱市场对美 https://t.co/imeNaeLzxM
98.4K views · 56 likes · 8 reposts · 70 replies Open on X →
我唯二比较佩服的两位,一个宏观边际,一位坦途宏观,在本次美联储加息上,一个倾向于维持不变,一个倾向于会加息,而他们的分析都挺有道理。而在我的看法里,还是加息的概率大一些,就等着看最后的结果吧。 上X就是图一乐啊,枯燥的生活需要调剂品。 58.4K views · 85 likes · 10 reposts · 47 replies Open on X →

Against accounts of the same size

13 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. below its peers on both reach and engagement.

Median views936this account964median for 10K–100K
Reach, %1.38%this account3.55%median for 10K–100K
Engagement, %0.24%this account1.59%median for 10K–100K
MetricThis accountMedian for 10K–100KRatio
Median views per post9369640.97×
Reach (views ÷ followers)1.38%3.55%0.39×
Engagement rate0.24%1.59%0.15×

Others in this range →   Compare with another account →   How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

58.4K28 Jul
98.4K30 Jul
727
5991 Aug
17.8K11 Sep
268
236
346
10.3K12 Sep
14
11.2K
6.5K
936

Last 13 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.24%28 Jul
0.14%30 Jul
0.00%
0.17%1 Aug
0.58%11 Sep
0.00%
0.00%
0.58%
0.58%12 Sep
0.00%
1.14%
1.31%
0.64%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.59%.

What the audience does

Likes48.3%353 in total
Reposts4.2%31 in total
Replies38.0%278 in total
Bookmarks9.4%69 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

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