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Sari Arho Havrén

@SariArhoHavren · 🇪🇺🇫🇮🇬🇧🇨🇳🇭🇰 · joined 30 Jan 2013

Geopolitics, China analyst. Geopolitical strategic foresight. China’s foreign policy. History,International Relations PhD. RUSI Associate Fellow. Opinions mine.

63 923Followers
5 065Following
36 186Posts total
770.6KViews on collected posts

Latest posts

A Russian frigate fired two flares toward a Danish military helicopter in international waters off Gedser on Monday, Denmark’s Armed Forces said. https://t.co/EsJ0UrvdSs 370 views · 0 likes · 2 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
A risk to the Chinese Communist Party, that is. Washington doesn’t have to put energy to reverse Kissinger/Nixon, if the CCP is worried, there’s your opportunity. 492 views · 7 likes · 3 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
Move these corporations to the EU, and we will slow them down 🤭 572 views · 13 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
China has a growing conventional firepower advantage in the Western Pacific in several critical categories, especially land-based missiles and the ability to concentrate forces close to its mainland. But China does not simply “outmatch” the US across all conventional military 940 views · 11 likes · 2 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →
Time for a pause on cutting-edge AI https://t.co/WNUZV7gNFr 10.4K views · 5 likes · 1 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →
@SariArhoHavren China already far outmatches US conventional firepower in the West Pacific, and the gap is only going to grow wider. It is the US government that is betting everything on AI to reverse the trend of its relative declining power. 938 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
@SariArhoHavren The ‘grey area’ and the active battlefield are clashing in Ukraine. Russian attacks are clearly intended to disrupt the functioning of the critical infrastructure responsible for direct communication between Ukraine and Poland (recently attacks were conducted at 34 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
@SariArhoHavren “Where is your NATO now??” all around Chinese media starting in 3…2…1… 87 views · 5 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
@SariArhoHavren It will always be hybrid, unless Russia flat out admits they did it. And since they won't, there won't ever be a kinetic reaction from NATO. 27 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
Brussels can put “hybrid” in front of it, and suddenly it becomes tolerable. 5.9K views · 138 likes · 19 reposts · 8 replies Open on X →
The Russians are attacking trains right at the border with Poland. People are fleeing – NATO is watching. https://t.co/lOgU3MxUsq
0:11
728.6K views · 7.1K likes · 2.5K reposts · 1K replies Open on X →
@SariArhoHavren @RUSI_org This woman is an idiot, she always distorts the news information trying to smear china for whatever reason. 145 views · 5 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
2/2 Beijing’s different use of ‘territorial-integrity’ is more than a simple diplomatic gesture, but rather a useful sign of its alignment. https://t.co/LT6b5VTg9c 6.2K views · 29 likes · 5 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
In my recent piece for @RUSI_org, I show how China is anything but neutral regarding Ukraine. In the lexicon of Chinese diplomacy, the phrase ‘territorial integrity’ is in near-constant use, but it does not always carry the same weight. Beijing deploys it in at least three 15.9K views · 144 likes · 54 reposts · 19 replies Open on X →

Against accounts of the same size

14 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. reaches fewer people than peers of the same size.

Median views755this account936median for 10K–100K
Reach, %1.18%this account3.43%median for 10K–100K
Engagement, %1.87%this account1.55%median for 10K–100K
MetricThis accountMedian for 10K–100KRatio
Median views per post7559360.81×
Reach (views ÷ followers)1.18%3.43%0.34×
Engagement rate1.87%1.55%1.21×

Others in this range →   Compare with another account →   How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

15.9K29 Jul
6.2K
14530 Jul
728.6K13 Sep
5.9K
27
87
3414 Sep
938
10.4K
94015 Sep
572
492
370

Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

1.37%29 Jul
0.57%
3.45%30 Jul
1.48%13 Sep
2.83%
3.70%
6.90%
2.94%14 Sep
0.11%
0.08%
1.70%15 Sep
2.62%
2.03%
0.54%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.55%.

What the audience does

Likes63.8%7 442 in total
Reposts22.3%2 606 in total
Replies9.2%1 074 in total
Quotes1.2%145 in total
Bookmarks3.5%406 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

Followers by day

15 Sep

Daily snapshots since 15 Sep 2026; the dashed line is the starting count.

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