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Joseph E. Barbuto | 🌊 The Economic LongWave ✓

@TheELongWave · Canada · joined 01 Jan 2020

23 years managing capital. Now I study LongWaves. 🍂 Fall to ❄️ Winter unconfirmed. Private debt signals first. 🌱 Tech Spring Seeds point to the next boom.

18 174Followers
2 068Following
24 548Posts total
4.8KViews on collected posts

Latest posts

🌊 On September 17, 1938, Nikolai Kondratieff was executed by Stalin’s regime. His dangerous idea? Capitalism would not simply collapse and disappear. It would move through long waves of expansion, excess, crisis and renewal. Kondratieff looked beyond the noise of his time and
333 views · 4 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
The Fed did not suddenly create higher interest rates today. It caught up with a change in the price of money that markets had already begun imposing. 1K views · 6 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
@TheELongWave This points to way more supply incoming. 7000 Boomers per day in the U.S. are dying. Just like Canada, they mostly own houses. We overbuilt and then held rates too low for too long, allowing rampant fraud and speculation. 40 views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
@TheELongWave Good analysis, thank you 👍 It a good new for youth, but a bad news for banks, GDP, RE companies, etc. 51 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
@TheELongWave Good framework. But the bigger tailwind was the 40-year fall in rates driven by fiat credit expansion. Demographics set demand ...cheap money set the price. Take away both and the adjustment gets ugly. 23 views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
🇨🇦 The Real Estate Cliff (Updated with our new format! (Canada's Net Demographic Housing Demand) NDHD This chart does NOT predict where Canadian house prices will go. It measures something simpler: 🏠 Potential new homeowners − deaths = Net Demographic Housing Demand (NDHD) ht
1.2K views · 10 likes · 3 reposts · 4 replies Open on X →
AI may force Canada to rediscover something it has neglected for decades: productive capital formation. The AI revolution is not just software. It requires: ⚡ Electricity ⛏️ Critical minerals ☢️ Uranium 🔥 Natural gas 💧 Hydropower 🏗️ Data centres 🔌 Transmission 💰 1.1K views · 5 likes · 2 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →
A correction: the problem isn’t modern economists. Many living thinkers have deeply influenced my work. My criticism is of frameworks that underweight debt, credit, technology, demographics, institutions & history I was searching for how the system works. https://t.co/eu6u0C10K9 1K views · 3 likes · 1 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Against accounts of the same size

8 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. right around the median for its follower range.

Median views670this account924median for 10K–100K
Reach, %3.68%this account3.62%median for 10K–100K
Engagement, %1.63%this account1.52%median for 10K–100K
MetricThis accountMedian for 10K–100KRatio
Median views per post6709240.72×
Reach (views ÷ followers)3.68%3.62%1.02×
Engagement rate1.63%1.52%1.07×

Others in this range →   Compare with another account →   How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

1K13 Sep
1.1K16 Sep
1.2K
23
51
40
1K
33317 Sep

Last 8 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.49%13 Sep
0.71%16 Sep
1.46%
8.70%
1.96%
5.00%
0.80%
1.80%17 Sep

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes58.9%33 in total
Reposts14.3%8 in total
Replies12.5%7 in total
Quotes3.6%2 in total
Bookmarks10.7%6 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

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