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Andy O ✓

@andyz8818576155 · Hong Kong · joined 05 Apr 2023

御剑乘风来,除魔天地间~宏观、地缘与科技。一个市场观察者的思考日志。 仅记录逻辑推演,不构成任何投资建议。 All views are my own,Not Financial Advice

28 656Followers
249Following
6 268Posts total
115.7KViews on collected posts

Latest posts

9月23日早上提醒止盈原油空头后,布伦特原油短线涨了5.3% 从最低94美金涨到今天最高100美金 https://t.co/Edm2qJGZud 1.1K views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
https://t.co/Edm2qJGZud https://t.co/tNwDCXOeLH
489 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
@andyz8818576155 二货,那是为11月份特朗普来华做铺垫那,你爹没牌打了,总不能空着手去深圳吧? 1.8K views · 6 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
@andyz8818576155 仪式越好看成果一般越低。 3.5K views · 6 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
@andyz8818576155 亲自去接机也没捞到啥好处 5.5K views · 5 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
中美和谈严重低于预期 路透:5月峰会时说要买500架,而现在能保住140架订单就烧高香了。 1)休战只延两个月,说明分歧没解决。 2)波音是中美关系的温度计。 500-140说明这次峰会形式大于实质,就是个作秀。 目前看,关税,稀土,AI管控,台湾军售很可能都会低于预期。 十一后美国很可能重新开启新一波贸易战! https://t.co/Qj7RIEqsrH
68.2K views · 129 likes · 19 reposts · 32 replies Open on X →
中秋,十一假期前短线控制好仓位,不满仓重仓追涨~ 市场上的所有利好已经提前定价(伊朗和谈,元首会面-中美缓和),而最重要的利空还没有定价。 1)美国10年期,30年期国债收益率新高。 2)日本10年期国债收益率跳涨新高破3.0%,1996年8月以来最高水平。 3)美股纳斯达克的赔率不好,向上空间10%左右,向下50%。 https://t.co/cLq0CMXl1m
5.2K views · 26 likes · 2 reposts · 23 replies Open on X →
中国AI大模型公司遭铁拳~ 网信办正在调查 DeepSeek和 Moonshot AI。 起因是 Anthropic指控这两家公司将用户敏感信息转发给 Claude 模型。 网信办已派人到两家公司办公室约谈高管和员工,评估是否存在跨境数据传输违规、以及是否将中国军警、企业等敏感数据泄露给美方。 AI公司阿里,智谱股价集体跳水~ https://t.co/w2EPkxcxbe
9K views · 49 likes · 1 reposts · 41 replies Open on X →
9月11日跟随我空原油的,短线可以考虑止盈了,我做投资喜欢做确定性的钱,剩下的原油空头赔率不如9月11日那么好了,让其他散户和机构追吧,我懒得追了。 不代表原油还不会跌,只是我个人投资风格喜欢确定性,喜欢做赔率合适的交易。 https://t.co/U89aYrhcI7 4.9K views · 7 likes · 0 reposts · 21 replies Open on X →
9月11日空原油,到今天为止,下跌14.55%,做空原油期货收益为145.5%(不考虑手续费,点差之类,10倍杠杆) https://t.co/ikSI5IN78p
705 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
为啥不建议裸空? 左侧摸顶易遭遇“极端尾部脉冲(Spike)逼空穿仓,商品的超级牛市见顶往往不是温和走平,而是伴随着最后一波狂暴的、脱离基本面的非理性情绪赶顶与逼空。 如果在 120 1.4K views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
感兴趣的注意优先考虑Bear Put Spread,不要裸空,裸空=清零 482 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
最佳的做空的时机是120美金以上,120美金以上长线做空时间拉长,我非常有把握,100-120美金会有地缘溢价风险,也就是会受到中东地缘战争可能的升级威胁,确定性没有120美金以上那么高,但是在110美金附近我非常确定,这个位置长线基本面的角度,你去追涨石油风险比空石油更大 773 views · 4 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →
长线的角度,原油上冲120美金可以考虑空原油 风险收益比比做多原油胜算高 12.5K views · 11 likes · 0 reposts · 32 replies Open on X →

Against accounts of the same size

14 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.

Median views2 675this account924median for 10K–100K
Reach, %9.33%this account3.62%median for 10K–100K
Engagement, %0.22%this account1.52%median for 10K–100K
MetricThis accountMedian for 10K–100KRatio
Median views per post2 6759242.90×
Reach (views ÷ followers)9.33%3.62%2.58×
Engagement rate0.22%1.52%0.14×

Others in this range →   Compare with another account →   How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

12.5K11 Sep
773
482
1.4K
70522 Sep
4.9K23 Sep
9K
5.2K24 Sep
68.2K
5.5K
3.5K
1.8K
489
1.1K

Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.36%11 Sep
0.52%
0.00%
0.14%
0.00%22 Sep
0.61%23 Sep
1.01%
0.98%24 Sep
0.27%
0.09%
0.17%
0.33%
0.00%
0.09%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes49.1%246 in total
Reposts4.4%22 in total
Replies29.7%149 in total
Quotes1.0%5 in total
Bookmarks15.8%79 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

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