Ben Moll

@ben_moll · joined 07 Jan 2019

Sir John Hicks Professor of Economics, @LSEecon. Macroeconomics with distribution(s). Coeditor of the American Economic Review.

28 102Followers

1 524Following

7 158Posts total

993.6KViews on collected posts

Against accounts of the same size

15 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.

Median views7 530this account1 089median for 10K–100K

Reach, %26.80%this account3.50%median for 10K–100K

Engagement, %0.47%this account2.00%median for 10K–100K

Metric	This account	Median for 10K–100K	Ratio
Median views per post	7 530	1 089	6.91×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	26.80%	3.50%	7.66×
Engagement rate	0.47%	2.00%	0.24×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

122.5K14 Aug

181.1K27 Aug

7.5K

4.5K

1.1K

46.4K29 Aug

5K30 Aug

3K31 Aug

127.8K1 Sep

1.4K

1.3K

62.3K4 Sep

67.2K

Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.29%14 Aug

0.28%27 Aug

0.53%

0.43%

2.79%

0.31%29 Aug

0.06%30 Aug

0.13%31 Aug

0.25%1 Sep

0.87%

1.37%

2.16%

0.47%4 Sep

1.28%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 2.00%.

What the audience does

Likes68.1%4 457 in total

Reposts7.9%518 in total

Replies2.9%187 in total

Quotes1.9%123 in total

Bookmarks19.2%1 255 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

Taxes on wealth or unrealized capital gains are a bad idea. Not just because of all the well-known implementation issues. But also in theory. Our paper, now forthcoming in Econometrica: 67.2K views · 687 likes · 142 reposts · 18 replies 04 Sep 2026 · Open on X →

When Jeff Bezos's Amazon stock doubles, should his tax bill? No, say Mark Aguiar, @ben_moll and @Florian_Scheuer: optimal taxes target realized net trades plus cash flows—not wealth or unrealized gains—while avoiding lock-in, whatever moves asset prices. https://t.co/2KbRlLemev h 62.3K views · 240 likes · 46 reposts · 1 replies 04 Sep 2026 · Open on X →

@ben_moll @alexolegimas @SamuelAlbanie I'd happily take the no-growth side of this bet, at these odds. 1.3K views · 27 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies 01 Sep 2026 · Open on X →

@ben_moll @alexolegimas @SamuelAlbanie It’s fun to see where people put their money where their mouth is. But also, who has this kind of money lying around??? Clearly I chose the wrong line of work 1.3K views · 15 likes · 0 reposts · 3 replies 01 Sep 2026 · Open on X →

@ben_moll @alexolegimas @SamuelAlbanie Can you take me on the "no fast growth" side Ben? 1.4K views · 12 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 01 Sep 2026 · Open on X →

Some real diversity of opinion at Google DeepMind: @alexolegimas joins the bet while his colleague @SamuelAlbanie takes the other side increasing his existing stake! Total size of pot now $425,000! https://t.co/NSQZKbfBIy https://t.co/CzACD8oe1l 127.8K views · 271 likes · 13 reposts · 18 replies 01 Sep 2026 · Open on X →

What do you think @dwarkesh_sp @dylan522p ? 3K views · 4 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 31 Aug 2026 · Open on X →

@ben_moll @dwarkesh_sp @dylan522p Thanks it was great. Okay so I read this and it's not quite the question Dwarkesh and I were debating, but it's obviously related and I'd be up for getting in on your side of the bet because I think you're right. I'd have to think more about how 5K views · 1 likes · 1 reposts · 0 replies 30 Aug 2026 · Open on X →

Hey @dwarkesh_sp, @dylan522p and @phl43, would you perhaps be interested in getting in on the bet below? Great episode by the way, I very much enjoyed it https://t.co/VmyggJZlSe https://t.co/UKCdWmXID7 46.4K views · 122 likes · 12 reposts · 8 replies 29 Aug 2026 · Open on X →

@ben_moll @willmacaskill @SamuelAlbanie @tomcohen @andrewho03 The genius is that if we get explosive growth the amount you just bet becomes tiny 1.1K views · 29 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 27 Aug 2026 · Open on X →

And thanks to @_sholtodouglas for inspiring the bet 4.5K views · 18 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 27 Aug 2026 · Open on X →

If anyone can find a counterparty to participate at the same odds, please DM me and we may be able to include you. Only complete party-counterparty pairs at 4:1 odds please and only stakes ≥ $10k (inflation adjusted as in the linked terms). 7.5K views · 33 likes · 1 reposts · 2 replies 27 Aug 2026 · Open on X →

Thanks to @willmacaskill, @SamuelAlbanie, @tomcohen for taking the other side of this bet at 4:1 odds and to @andrewho03 for joining on my side. Here are the final terms we agreed on https://t.co/NSQZKbfBIy More (within) ~7 years from now 😃 https://t.co/8Ta8sjm9jB 181.1K views · 421 likes · 48 reposts · 24 replies 27 Aug 2026 · Open on X →

Would anyone like to take the other side of the following bet? I bet you (say) $25k inflation-adjusted that U.S. per capita real GDP growth will be <15% per annum in 2033 or any year before that. (15% implies a doubling time of ~5 years.) Note: I'm extremely bullish on AI and 122.5K views · 302 likes · 14 reposts · 27 replies 14 Aug 2026 · Open on X →

How fast could the economy double? TLDR, once we have good enough AI and tens of millions of robots - very fast. As crazy as it feels now - it is worth pricing in economic doublings into your mental models of the 2030s. Strongly recommend reading this series of blog posts by ht 292.1K views · 1.7K likes · 111 reposts · 78 replies 14 Aug 2026 · Open on X →

For those interested, here are my slides from yesterday's Cowles Lecture at the Econometric Society Meetings @YaleCowles @econometricsoc https://t.co/HilQnlxMEG Thanks so much for listening and for the great discussion and comments! https://t.co/j2oUIQCxEz 69K views · 532 likes · 130 reposts · 4 replies 05 Jun 2026 · Open on X →