Emil Kastehelmi ✓

@emilkastehelmi · Lahti, Suomi · joined 14 Nov 2015

Military analyst & military history expert. Co-founder @Black_BirdGroup 📞 +358 407399158 ✉️ emil@blackbirdgroup.fi

126 735Followers

349Following

7 528Posts total

373.3KViews on collected posts

Latest posts

Emil Kastehelmi ✓@emilkastehelmi7 Sep

Our latest map data shows that the Russian advance is still almost at a standstill, despite continuous attacks on a wide front. The Russian summer campaign of 2026 can be considered a failure. No significant acceleration in the pace of advance is expected in early autumn. 74.5K views · 716 likes · 135 reposts · 8 replies Open on X →

Emil Kastehelmi ✓@emilkastehelmi25 Aug

@emilkastehelmi And the use of armor does isn't necessarily manuever warfare. I don't know the details, so maybe some tactical actions do quality if you squint hard enough, but considering the scale and length of the operation, it's not what the term commonly implies. 731 views · 4 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Emil Kastehelmi ✓@emilkastehelmi25 Aug

Hyvä meininki. Mäenpää käytännössä keksii sanoja suuhuni ja naljailee keksimänsä kautta osaamisestani. En ole käytöksestä yllättynyt, mutta pettynyt olen. O tempora, o mores, kuten hän itse sanoo. Väännetään rautalangasta vielä pointti, jos se nyt jäi jollekulle epäselväksi: 1/3 73.8K views · 189 likes · 4 reposts · 22 replies Open on X →

Emil Kastehelmi ✓@emilkastehelmi24 Aug

@emilkastehelmi From acons grow trees, Emil. 2.5K views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Emil Kastehelmi ✓@emilkastehelmi24 Aug

@emilkastehelmi When US invaded Iraq, did they prepare the ground invasion or just yoloed in on tanks and IFVs ? How is this any different ? And no, obviously, these offensives did not consist of a singular mech assault, but tens of them, the simple fact that only a few vehicles 4.5K views · 11 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Emil Kastehelmi ✓@emilkastehelmi24 Aug

This case depends on the viewpoint. Without more context, generally I'd say that if a single IFV platoon being able to dismount infantry is a rare event that requires very special preparation to succeed, I see it as an argument that maneuver warfare is currently dead. 71K views · 105 likes · 9 reposts · 7 replies Open on X →

Emil Kastehelmi ✓@emilkastehelmi17 Aug

https://t.co/RfquGaJdJb 17.9K views · 116 likes · 24 reposts · 10 replies Open on X →

Emil Kastehelmi ✓@emilkastehelmi4 Aug

Our July assessment. This is likely going to be Russia's worst summer of the war yet. Practically nothing has been achieved in terms of territorial gains. Losses remain high both on the front & in the rear, and there is still no clear answer to the Ukrainian long-range strikes. 128.4K views · 708 likes · 142 reposts · 27 replies Open on X →

Against accounts of the same size

8 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 100K–1M follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.

Median views44 420this account6 092median for 100K–1M

Reach, %35.05%this account1.61%median for 100K–1M

Engagement, %0.42%this account0.98%median for 100K–1M

Metric	This account	Median for 100K–1M	Ratio
Median views per post	44 420	6 092	7.29×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	35.05%	1.61%	21.8×
Engagement rate	0.42%	0.98%	0.43×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

128.4K4 Aug

17.9K17 Aug

71K24 Aug

4.5K

2.5K

73.8K25 Aug

731

74.5K7 Sep

Last 8 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.69%4 Aug

0.87%17 Aug

0.17%24 Aug

0.27%

0.08%

0.29%25 Aug

0.55%

1.16%7 Sep

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 100K–1M accounts is 0.98%.

What the audience does

Likes76.4%1 851 in total

Reposts13.0%314 in total

Replies3.1%75 in total

Quotes0.7%18 in total

Bookmarks6.8%166 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

Against accounts of the same size

Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

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