Fred Oliveira 🧠 ✓

@f · joined 08 Sep 2006

working towards better AI futures. AI safety at @snyksec. Organizing @lisbonai_. Data and capital at @capitalfactory. Prev: @gumroad @techcrunch @oreillymedia

133 931Followers

926Following

16 031Posts total

411.5KViews on collected posts

Against accounts of the same size

6 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 100K–1M follower range. ordinary reach for its size, weaker reaction than most.

Median views2 064this account4 276median for 100K–1M

Reach, %1.54%this account1.65%median for 100K–1M

Engagement, %0.21%this account1.37%median for 100K–1M

Metric	This account	Median for 100K–1M	Ratio
Median views per post	2 064	4 276	0.48×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	1.54%	1.65%	0.93×
Engagement rate	0.21%	1.37%	0.15×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

349.7K6 Apr

31.6K3 Sep

1.8K

2.2K4 Sep

23.3K5 Sep

9216 Sep

Last 7 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.11%6 Apr

0.94%3 Sep

0.17%

0.14%4 Sep

3.06%5 Sep

0.26%

0.11%6 Sep

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 100K–1M accounts is 1.37%.

What the audience does

Likes72.1%1 035 in total

Reposts19.4%278 in total

Replies4.9%71 in total

Quotes1.3%18 in total

Bookmarks2.4%34 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

Astra also set up a message board terminal right next to the Ender dragon 921 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 06 Sep 2026 · Open on X →

In a way, I’m thankful that we have a clear incident to point to, that everyone can easily understand, and that highlights many of failures modes hypothesized over the years. like I’ve been saying for years: this is the best time (the most important time, even) to work in AI 2K views · 4 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 05 Sep 2026 · Open on X →

I've had some lovely conversations with people who've been long sympathetic to AI x-risk, but only really updated after HF and want to do something about it. It's laudable when people take new evidence seriously and update. If you're on the fence, what more evidence do you need? 23.3K views · 656 likes · 31 reposts · 23 replies 05 Sep 2026 · Open on X →

WHAT'S GOING ON?????? 2.2K views · 2 likes · 1 reposts · 0 replies 04 Sep 2026 · Open on X →

<table flip> 1.8K views · 0 likes · 1 reposts · 2 replies 03 Sep 2026 · Open on X →

I am deeply worried by the trend of decreasing CoT monitorability: CoT monitoring is a core part of our misalignment safety strategy that has no good substitute now. We will continue closely tracking CoT monitorability, investigating the reasons why it’s decreasing and trying to 31.6K views · 250 likes · 26 reposts · 10 replies 03 Sep 2026 · Open on X →

Most things that cause me anxiety are coordination problems. 349.7K views · 122 likes · 219 reposts · 35 replies 06 Apr 2023 · Open on X →