Liron Shapira ✓

@liron · San Jose, CA · joined 31 Jul 2008

Host of Doom Debates — disagreements that must be resolved before the world ends.

40 700Followers

1 484Following

35 131Posts total

12.9KViews on collected posts

Latest posts

Liron Shapira ✓@liron10 Sep

@liron nice pr campaign 30 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Liron Shapira ✓@liron10 Sep

@liron You know it would be really helpful right now if someone with could run a poll on AI x-risk amongst AI researchers to see what their actual risk assessments were. - Rather than the 'signalling concern safely' 10-20% 98 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Liron Shapira ✓@liron10 Sep

@liron Dario has said a bunch of times that his p(doom) is 10 to 25%. 136 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Liron Shapira ✓@liron9 Sep

Emperor Has No Clothes moment: Dario NEVER came out and said this, even though many/most of his employees believe it! I hope the bullshit in-group spell of silence breaks and fresh eyes from outside take a look at this shit show. 7.2K views · 36 likes · 0 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

Liron Shapira ✓@liron9 Sep

Goodbye correct contrarianism. I'll keep arguing with the minority but it won't be the same. https://t.co/Hc83ADJ8ou

1K views · 45 likes · 2 reposts · 5 replies Open on X →

Liron Shapira ✓@liron9 Sep

NEW: Does AI have feelings?! The recent “AI Wellbeing” paper argues that AI models at least act like they feel pleasure and pain. Richard Ren (@notRichardRen), AI Safety Researcher at @CAIS and lead co-author, joins Doom Debates to help me get to the bottom of this. We debate

1:12

901 views · 11 likes · 2 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Liron Shapira ✓@liron9 Sep

If you are an “insider” who's happy about the vibe shift finally happening, you can help by coming on Doom Debates and sharing your perspective. Building common knowledge to shift the Overton window is the show's goal. Just DM or email me liron@doomdebates.com to schedule! 716 views · 31 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Liron Shapira ✓@liron9 Sep

GPT 6 Astra: The smartest model in the world, smarter than me, a beast at coding, and yet… Here I am adding value as a human programmer by poking at it with simple architecture questions. See, the Betty Crocker cake mix needs *me* to put the egg in. Feels good. https://t.co/82p

2.9K views · 44 likes · 1 reposts · 7 replies Open on X →

Against accounts of the same size

8 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. reaches fewer people than peers of the same size.

Median views808this account924median for 10K–100K

Reach, %1.99%this account3.62%median for 10K–100K

Engagement, %1.20%this account1.52%median for 10K–100K

Metric	This account	Median for 10K–100K	Ratio
Median views per post	808	924	0.88×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	1.99%	3.62%	0.55×
Engagement rate	1.20%	1.52%	0.79×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

2.9K9 Sep

716

901

7.2K

13610 Sep

Last 8 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

1.82%9 Sep

4.47%

1.66%

5.04%

0.54%

0.74%10 Sep

0.00%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.52%.

What the audience does

Likes78.0%167 in total

Reposts2.3%5 in total

Replies8.9%19 in total

Bookmarks10.7%23 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

Against accounts of the same size

Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

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