Rafael ✓

@n3ocortex · Berlin · joined 30 Jun 2016

51 013Followers

743Following

1 266Posts total

153.4KViews on collected posts

Against accounts of the same size

4 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.

Median views11 606this account1 756median for 10K–100K

Reach, %22.75%this account5.38%median for 10K–100K

Engagement, %0.52%this account1.75%median for 10K–100K

Metric	This account	Median for 10K–100K	Ratio
Median views per post	11 606	1 756	6.61×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	22.75%	5.38%	4.23×
Engagement rate	0.52%	1.75%	0.30×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

17.3K5 Jun

60K

4.6K

3.8K

9.2K

3.6K

3.2K

4.1K

1.1K

2.1K

13.3K30 Aug

11.2K2 Sep

12K3 Sep

8K4 Sep

Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.68%5 Jun

0.59%

0.96%

0.60%

0.40%

0.56%

0.59%

0.71%

0.47%

0.24%

0.56%30 Aug

0.76%2 Sep

0.48%3 Sep

0.26%4 Sep

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.75%.

What the audience does

Likes66.8%743 in total

Reposts8.3%92 in total

Replies4.1%46 in total

Quotes0.9%10 in total

Bookmarks19.9%221 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

#BTC: T̵e̵c̵h̵ ̵B̵e̵t̵a̵ Debasement Trade https://t.co/4Ef529rVQt 8K views · 19 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies 04 Sep 2026 $5B on $IBIT and $14B on Deribit expire later this month, most of it calls struck at $80K and up. Spot at $79K. The options market is positioned for a move above $80K that spot has not made yet. ~3 weeks to find out. https://t.co/xRmENswfgb 12K views · 52 likes · 4 reposts · 2 replies 03 Sep 2026 bitcoin:native ETF inflows came back with the rally, but volumes didn't (yet). About $2B a day changing hands versus $4-5 billion in earlier inflow waves. Similar story as spot: the money shows up, the activity hasn't. https://t.co/HaJRaTfczx 11.2K views · 70 likes · 7 reposts · 7 replies 02 Sep 2026 Still wanna see spot volume across CEXs pick up before calling this move more sustainable. https://t.co/pzhAvWdkYP 13.3K views · 66 likes · 3 reposts · 5 replies 30 Aug 2026 @glassnode *not a prediction 2.1K views · 5 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 05 Jun 2026 @n3ocortex @glassnode Very good analysis. DCAing here and going 1.1K views · 5 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 05 Jun 2026 8/ This is a prediction, and I don't know where the bottom is. Bottoms are not known in advance – they can only be framed in zones, probabilities, and levels that tell you when the setup is changing. All data and charts: @glassnode 4.1K views · 28 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 05 Jun 2026 6/ One important caveat: cycle drawdowns have been getting shallower. Prior lows fell ~85%, ~84%, and ~77%. This cycle is ~50% below ATH so far. That maturation does not rule out a deeper capitulation tail, but argues the higher-probability low sits closer to the upper zone. ht 3.2K views · 18 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 05 Jun 2026 7/ To the upside, the first major reclaim zone sits at $75K–$79K. That is where the STH cost basis, True Market Mean, and 200DMA converge. Turning this cluster back into support would mark the first sign of repair. The bigger test sits higher: the 50WMA near $93K, then the htt 3.6K views · 19 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 05 Jun 2026 5/ On today’s ladder, that places the higher-probability bottom zone around CVDD to Realized Price: roughly $46K–$54K. Below that sits the capitulation tail: Balanced Price to Delta Price, around $35K–$40K. That deeper zone has only been seen on less than 3% of trading days. ht 9.2K views · 28 likes · 3 reposts · 2 replies 05 Jun 2026 4/ Not all models mark the floor equally. Across prior lows, $BTC bottomed within a 1.05–1.18x range of CVDD – the most precise anchor in this set. The higher valuation lines were often pierced, CVDD is where the bottom has repeatedly clustered. CVDD currently sits at $46.2K h 3.8K views · 21 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies 05 Jun 2026 3/ Beneath the 200WMA lies Bitcoin’s deeper cost-basis ladder: Realized Price ~$54K CVDD ~$46K Balanced Price ~$40K Delta Price ~$35K Every prior cycle low wicked into this band and recovered. https://t.co/5oxEfVD2ti 4.6K views · 36 likes · 7 reposts · 1 replies 05 Jun 2026 1/ Where is the #Bitcoin bottom? $BTC has fallen to $62K, nearly 50% below its ATH and down 24% in a month. Price has now worked through the upper rungs of our pricing framework, moving into the cluster of valuation levels where past cycles have found their floor. 🧵 https://t. 60K views · 276 likes · 51 reposts · 21 replies 05 Jun 2026 2/ $BTC has dipped below the median holder’s breakeven level for the first time since Dec 2022. It now sits within a broader support cluster: Median Realized Price at $64.1K, and the 200WMA at $61.7K. Only ~7% of Bitcoin’s history has been spent below this Median MVRV level. ht 17.3K views · 100 likes · 15 reposts · 3 replies 05 Jun 2026