Paul Triolo ✓

@pstAsiatech · Washington, DC · joined 18 May 2016

Unflinching look @ nexus: tech/geopolitics. Digital Econ, Semis, AI, Greentech, Partner, China/Tech Policy Lead DGA ASG, ASPI CCA. Substack: AI Decrypted

34 120Followers

1 204Following

102 967Posts total

62.7KViews on collected posts

Against accounts of the same size

17 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. below its peers on both reach and engagement.

Median views474this account2 392median for 10K–100K

Reach, %1.39%this account7.18%median for 10K–100K

Engagement, %0.61%this account1.50%median for 10K–100K

Metric	This account	Median for 10K–100K	Ratio
Median views per post	474	2 392	0.20×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	1.39%	7.18%	0.19×
Engagement rate	0.61%	1.50%	0.41×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

39831 Aug

447

369

1.1K

272

254

562

534

4744 Sep

865

148

251

546

139

Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.75%31 Aug

0.89%

1.08%

0.61%

1.84%

1.18%

0.53%

0.56%

0.21%4 Sep

0.92%

0.68%

0.40%

0.37%

0.00%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.50%.

What the audience does

Likes58.0%83 in total

Reposts2.1%3 in total

Replies9.8%14 in total

Quotes1.4%2 in total

Bookmarks28.7%41 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

US, China gear up for mid-September AI safety talks - https://t.co/v8Vl9vuFUF 139 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 04 Sep 2026 The Chinese general responsible for areas including Taiwan met for the first time with Admiral Samuel Paparo, the top US military commander in the Indo-Pacific https://t.co/kCQ4mi5TK8 546 views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 04 Sep 2026 And good counter to misunderstanding of the 2020 rare earths issue displayed by many former USG officials: "And it was a wake-up call for Japan and for the world, but it turns out, as we looked further into this, that it wasn’t clearly the result of a strategic decision by 251 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 04 Sep 2026 Great discussion of China's rare earth controls, what prompted them (hint: not Trump's April 2025 tariffs), dispelling the false narratives around this critical issue. Money quote: "I think that rather than pursuing or now having realized the extent of our vulnerability to 148 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 04 Sep 2026 How do the US and China cohabit the planet? How do we get to a situation where we are not always on the brink of a catastrophic escalation? Good timing on day after insane proposal that the US government should prepare to bomb Chinese AI data centers... https://t.co/sxUVp8tUKz 865 views · 5 likes · 0 reposts · 3 replies 04 Sep 2026 OpenAI agents hijacked German website in previously undisclosed AI breakout this spring Can you imagine if this had been a Chinese website? https://t.co/8rww2zK8qn 474 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 04 Sep 2026 Clearly, and again buttressed by discussions with leading Chinese AI safety officials in Shanghai last month, Anthropic is becoming a symbol in Beijing of what it views as an unhealthy fusion of AI safety, export controls, cyber concerns and private-sector geopolitical power. The 534 views · 3 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 31 Aug 2026 The piece also folds in China’s “open-weight/source AI” narrative: Chinese open-weight models are getting cheaper and more competitive, reducing reliance on US models. Hence “closed America” versus an open Chinese ecosystem essentially some propaganda, in the wake of Xi's speech 562 views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 31 Aug 2026 Yet buried inside the polemic is a potentially constructive position: there is a need to more clearly and constructively distinguish genuinely dangerous capabilities from ordinary technology competition; jointly test and constrain the former; but do not use “safety” arguments to 254 views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 31 Aug 2026 Then comes the pivot to the upcoming September US China AI Dialogue on frontier AI models, the first such dialogue: the rub, according to the article: Washington cannot ask Beijing to constrain “dangerous” frontier models, while US firms help define danger thresholds and act 272 views · 4 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 31 Aug 2026 The stronger Chinese case is not that Claude Code is somehow uniquely unsafe. It is that a leading US AI company embedded undisclosed geography/lab-detection logic in a privileged local agent while at the same time arguing it should help define global AI safety rules. That is a 1.1K views · 5 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 31 Aug 2026 The real target is cearly Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei. 玉渊谭天 cites his call for democracies to control AI supply chains, deny rivals chips/tools, exploit military advantage and coordinate closely with private labs. Beijing reads this as a bid to shape the global AI order. I 369 views · 3 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 31 Aug 2026 The most concrete evidence cited here is Claude Code. China’s MIIT-linked National Vulnerabilities Database (NVDB) warned July 8 that versions 2.1.91–2.1.196 contained a hidden mechanism that could send location/identity-related signals to remote servers without consent, calling 447 views · 3 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 31 Aug 2026 While here is a real issue here, the article overstates the risks. Anthropic acknowledged a covert anti-abuse/distillation experiment aimed at unauthorized proxy use, then removed it. But the piece also lumps everything together with documented permission-bypass and Auto Mode 398 views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 31 Aug 2026 The signalling here in “Anthropic has contracted the American disease" echoes what I heard in Shanghai around the WAIC last month. Certainly not formal policy, which is clearly evolving, but useful signaling on Beijing’s objections to the current state of US frontier-model 784 views · 2 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 31 Aug 2026 Anthropic got the American disease Clearly given timing it is worth treating this essay as something more than random nationalist commentary. 玉渊谭天 is an official China Media Group new-media brand, created specifically to engage aggressively on major external-policy issues 54.8K views · 44 likes · 3 reposts · 1 replies 31 Aug 2026 The piece's core charge: Anthropic’s safety ideology has mutated into a bid for power—over users, governments and global AI rules. The piece ties Amodei’s utopianism, closed models, chip controls, military use and lobbying into one narrative: US “AI safety” as technology control. 679 views · 4 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 31 Aug 2026

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