Political Election Projections

@tencor_7144 · New Jersey · joined 14 Jun 2021

@DecisionDeskHQ @Elections_Daily contributor Views expressed here are my own Retweets ≠ Support CENTRAL JERSEY EXISTS

42 066Followers

236Following

152 426Posts total

51.4KViews on collected posts

Against accounts of the same size

5 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.

Median views5 556this account1 456median for 10K–100K

Reach, %13.21%this account4.50%median for 10K–100K

Engagement, %1.01%this account1.88%median for 10K–100K

Metric	This account	Median for 10K–100K	Ratio
Median views per post	5 556	1 456	3.82×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	13.21%	4.50%	2.94×
Engagement rate	1.01%	1.88%	0.54×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

29.4K18 Jul

5.1K2 Sep

4.4K

5.6K4 Sep

Last 5 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.06%18 Jul

0.95%2 Sep

1.57%

2.86%4 Sep

1.01%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.88%.

What the audience does

Likes85.1%321 in total

Reposts4.8%18 in total

Replies6.6%25 in total

Quotes0.3%1 in total

Bookmarks3.2%12 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

Pretty interesting that these days Jackson seems to be the clear "Democratic partisan cheerleader" on the bench. I'm not sure whether or not she or Sotomayer is still the most liberal on ideology, but it feels like Jackson the more "partisan" vote on bigger cases where it's 8-1. 7K views · 62 likes · 3 reposts · 6 replies 04 Sep 2026 Had a fresh look at the 2026 US Senate map now that we've entered into September and really into the campaigning phase. I think either Democrats or Republicans will win control of this chamber, with a pretty high confidence level. 5.6K views · 138 likes · 7 reposts · 13 replies 04 Sep 2026 Alaska legislative politics are shaping up to be pretty interesting. In the State Senate, Rs are guaranteed to have the majority of seats, but their caucus will still be in the minority. In the State House, Ds/Is likely to outnumber Rs regardless of caucus after this election. 4.4K views · 65 likes · 2 reposts · 2 replies 02 Sep 2026 NYT tracking polls ❌️ Abacus polls ✅️ Seriously though the lack of high-quality polling anywhere this year is not great. 5.1K views · 43 likes · 4 reposts · 1 replies 02 Sep 2026 Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 29.4K views · 13 likes · 2 reposts · 3 replies 18 Jul 2026