Esfandyar Batmanghelidj ✓

@yarbatman · joined 23 Aug 2014

Investing in economies in West and Central Asia by building @BourseBazaarFdn. Teaching about how sanctions are reshaping the world at @SAISHopkins.

44 837Followers

1 892Following

35 573Posts total

468.4KViews on collected posts

Against accounts of the same size

7 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.

Median views39 089this account2 968median for 10K–100K

Reach, %87.18%this account9.18%median for 10K–100K

Engagement, %0.56%this account1.42%median for 10K–100K

Metric	This account	Median for 10K–100K	Ratio
Median views per post	39 089	2 968	13.2×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	87.18%	9.18%	9.50×
Engagement rate	0.56%	1.42%	0.40×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

185.1K1 Jan

51.2K3 Sep

39.1K

25.6K

11.4K

109.7K

43.2K

3.2K

Last 8 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.14%1 Jan

0.51%3 Sep

0.56%

0.63%

0.26%

0.54%

5.92%

0.68%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.42%.

What the audience does

Likes69.6%2 970 in total

Reposts15.5%660 in total

Replies7.9%337 in total

Quotes3.2%136 in total

Bookmarks3.9%165 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

This is exactly right. 3.2K views · 16 likes · 5 reposts · 1 replies 03 Sep 2026 Two-thirds of all targets hit in Tehran in the initial phases of the war were civilian. 43.2K views · 2K likes · 508 reposts · 37 replies 03 Sep 2026 JD Vance on Iran: Unlike the IRGC, the U.S. never targets civilians in combat. We never will do that. We never have done that. https://t.co/8TyUy3NwJD 109.7K views · 249 likes · 39 reposts · 193 replies 03 Sep 2026 Would also note that imports falling more quickly than non-oil exports--and GDP contraction in general--is likely to relieve inflationary and forex pressure, due to the overall decline in economic activity. Some comments from Hemmati and others recently have hinted that this is 11.4K views · 17 likes · 4 reposts · 5 replies 03 Sep 2026 Iran can adapt to sanctions in various ways, but it does not have great options to sustain oil exports because China is its only customer. You can't deliver oil to China in tanker trucks, but you can transport oil by rail. This is something Iran is doing, but it obviously can't 25.6K views · 128 likes · 22 reposts · 10 replies 03 Sep 2026 Once again, Robin is looking at the wrong exchange rate. Since the blockade was reimposed, the USD exchange rate in the main FX market has risen from 1.48 million rials to 1.57 million. That is a 6% decline over the period, or around 3.5% in monthly depreciation. In the 39.1K views · 164 likes · 41 reposts · 8 replies 03 Sep 2026 The US learned from the mistakes it made in the first iteration of its blockade of Iran. The second iteration has tightened lots of loopholes and is much tougher. That's why the Iranian Rial is in freefall. It's down 20% since the reimposition on July 14. https://t.co/vLWqLjyOuW 51.2K views · 201 likes · 33 reposts · 23 replies 03 Sep 2026 I share my opinions and analysis here in the hopes that they can be useful, in some small way, for people forming their own opinions or seeking to understand the situation in Iran. When I started this account years ago, most people who followed me either knew me or my work. They 185.1K views · 189 likes · 8 reposts · 60 replies 01 Jan 2026