Giovanni's BTC_POWER_LAW ✓

@Giovann35084111 · San Diego, CA · joined 01 Mar 2020

The Physics of Bitcoin, Official Home of the Bitcoin Power Law: https://t.co/ITy1N4YFPz

59 272Followers

4 706Following

50 167Posts total

312.8KViews on collected posts

Against accounts of the same size

11 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.

Median views6 147this account1 637median for 10K–100K

Reach, %10.37%this account5.01%median for 10K–100K

Engagement, %0.61%this account1.81%median for 10K–100K

Metric	This account	Median for 10K–100K	Ratio
Median views per post	6 147	1 637	3.76×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	10.37%	5.01%	2.07×
Engagement rate	0.61%	1.81%	0.34×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

238.9K8 May

12.4K

81710 May

6.7K1 Sep

6.7K2 Sep

4.8K

7.2K

5.6K

6.1K

10.1K

13.1K

158

125

393 Sep

Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.37%8 May

0.76%

1.22%10 May

0.18%1 Sep

0.61%2 Sep

0.13%

0.43%

0.16%

0.70%

0.14%

0.77%

0.63%

2.40%

2.56%3 Sep

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.81%.

What the audience does

Likes58.6%1 040 in total

Reposts6.4%113 in total

Replies5.0%89 in total

Quotes1.1%20 in total

Bookmarks28.9%513 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

@Giovann35084111 Historical data extrapolated, however u define or refine that extrapolation simply ignores the arrow of TIME. What was a relevant price input 10 years ago may not be relevant 20 years forward. It’s naive to believe that extrapolation works, from straight lines to 39 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 03 Sep 2026 @Giovann35084111 I'm so here for this. Long live Bitcoin science. 125 views · 3 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 02 Sep 2026 @Giovann35084111 This stance is far more sound and sensible. We support this posture as it represents sound scientific discipline. 158 views · 1 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 02 Sep 2026 That is true. But this is precisely where physical intuition and experience with complex systems become important. Power laws are, in general, remarkably stable when they emerge from genuine scaling processes. They are often associated with strong self-regulating mechanisms, 13.1K views · 81 likes · 7 reposts · 11 replies 02 Sep 2026 @Giovann35084111 @Andre_Dragosch @CorySwan @diglloyd @charlesamadeus @DCBitMax Personally, and this is not a scientific belief, I expect the power law trend to keep occurring. But that is only an informed guess to me. I also expect and hope my country to keep being sovereign, as 10.1K views · 11 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies 02 Sep 2026 Cory should read and comment on this paper too. 6.1K views · 38 likes · 2 reposts · 3 replies 02 Sep 2026 @CorySwan Same authors: https://t.co/yOQMlqO2uc 5.6K views · 7 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 02 Sep 2026 So lazy response. He is also misquote Barquero. He has shown the power law is the best predictive model when you adopt a time horizon beyond 6 months. Cory has not even read all the publised work of the author he quotes (in all caps). 7.2K views · 25 likes · 2 reposts · 2 replies 02 Sep 2026 @Giovann35084111 I don't have to because @xmal already did. Something something Brandolini's Law 😂🤦‍♂️ 4.8K views · 3 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies 02 Sep 2026 Cory should write a paper and publish it as we did. https://t.co/8sMTd9753L 6.7K views · 36 likes · 1 reposts · 4 replies 02 Sep 2026 @diglloyd @xmal @Giovann35084111 The one-month forecast point comes from Baquero’s survey of the broader Bitcoin price-prediction literature. No one attributed that claim to Plan G. My objection to Plan G’s work is the extrapolation. A power-law trend line can fit Bitcoin’s hist 6.7K views · 4 likes · 0 reposts · 7 replies 01 Sep 2026 @Giovann35084111 @Breedlove22 Hi Giovanni, Just a little remark. New btc addresses are not correlated with new users. I get a new address everytime when I swap or act currencies into btc. I loved the interview. I am a fan 🧡 817 views · 7 likes · 0 reposts · 3 replies 10 May 2025 @Breedlove22 Link: https://t.co/j97ZxEs3OP 12.4K views · 70 likes · 16 reposts · 7 replies 08 May 2025 This remains my best interview to date. It is the best because @Breedlove22 is a genuine person, he was well prepared (he even has a series of interviews with physicist G. West, a world expert in power laws), and a bright and curious mind. Also the live interview vs one over ht 238.9K views · 753 likes · 84 reposts · 48 replies 08 May 2025