Graham Allison ✓

@GrahamTAllison · Cambridge, MA · joined 31 Jan 2017

Douglas Dillon Professor @Kennedy_School | Former Director @BelferCenter | Author of "Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides Trap?"

36 340Followers

455Following

3 169Posts total

44.4KViews on collected posts

Latest posts

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison11 Sep

1/ China Challenge: Believe It or Not* Who Took Gold in This Year’s Robot Olympics? 3.7K views · 16 likes · 1 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison6 Sep

@GrahamTAllison How on Gods earth is a UST 5.30 yld high? Buyers have literally been paying the gov to hold their money with 0% rates. It’s called reversion to the mean. 24 views · 0 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison4 Sep

3/ Despite Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s unexpected intervention to tame the markets by increasing the buyback of longer-dated bonds “by at least double,” the national debt broke $40 trillion and bond yields climbed back up. What now? 500 views · 4 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison4 Sep

4/ The higher the bond yields, the more expensive it will be to service the debt. 713 views · 3 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison4 Sep

5/ Financial investors are now watching what happens with 10-year bond yields, currently at 4.8%. The consensus is that if it reaches 5%, that would trigger the biggest alarm of all. https://t.co/aAytYNfKJp

717 views · 6 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison4 Sep

2/ Answer: July 2007, just months before the 2008 Financial Crisis began. https://t.co/Eu7NJJPTKY

1.1K views · 5 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison4 Sep

1/ One Week, Two Alarms on America’s Fiscal Health The 30-year bond yield hit 5.3% on August 17. It remains at 5.2%. When was the last time it was this high? 4.4K views · 14 likes · 1 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison31 Aug

@GrahamTAllison Actually this answered why slight deflationary pressure is good for a builder nation that aims to build massive infrastructure for next few decades to grow If u have horizon of 100 years like China And that's why it was wise to burst Property bubble in China and 649 views · 4 likes · 1 reposts · 0 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison31 Aug

6/ What about China? In 2005—three years before California—China began construction on its 75-mile high-speed rail line between Beijing and Tianjin. Three years later—in 2008—trains were carrying passengers between the cities at a speed of 220 mph. 1.4K views · 9 likes · 2 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison31 Aug

7/ How many miles of high-speed rail does China have today? More than 30,000. China is home to 65% of all the high-speed rail track in the world. In the time since California broke ground, China has added almost 20,000 miles of track. 1.7K views · 10 likes · 2 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison31 Aug

8/ *As part of an effort to improve our understanding of China, I will continue to offer another “Believe It or Not” about China each week. Readers are invited to send along candidates for the list. 1.6K views · 19 likes · 3 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison31 Aug

4/ As The Wall Street Journal reported last week: “After years of legal battles, cost overruns, leadership changes and political fights, the price tag [of California’s high-speed rail] is up to $126 billion, with a high estimate of $231 billion, and it isn’t expected to be fully 1.7K views · 7 likes · 2 reposts · 2 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison31 Aug

5/ Why the delay? Consider the city of Shafter, California, with a population of 24,000. On the route proposed, it would be bisected by the train—so its City Council petitioned the state to design a route around the town. Eighteen years in, the Authority still hasn't finished 1.5K views · 5 likes · 2 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison31 Aug

3/ Eighteen years and roughly $15 billion later, the first mile of track is yet to be completed. 1.9K views · 9 likes · 2 reposts · 3 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison31 Aug

2/ California voters approved a bullet train from San Francisco to Los Angeles in 2008. How far can you travel on it today? 2.5K views · 7 likes · 2 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison31 Aug

1/ China Challenge: Believe It or Not* California vs. China: High-Speed Rail 15.1K views · 50 likes · 6 reposts · 10 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison26 Aug

1/ Bolting Ahead In the Global Robot Race https://t.co/JwrmCu2R3R

2.3K views · 4 likes · 2 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Graham Allison ✓@GrahamTAllison25 Aug

1/ What Rebalancing? Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent declared at the start of this year that Trump has “delivered in every way on his promise to rebalance global trade to the benefit of American workers and companies.” 2.8K views · 8 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies Open on X →

Against accounts of the same size

18 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. ordinary reach for its size, weaker reaction than most.

Median views1 636this account1 056median for 10K–100K

Reach, %4.50%this account3.62%median for 10K–100K

Engagement, %0.56%this account1.71%median for 10K–100K

Metric	This account	Median for 10K–100K	Ratio
Median views per post	1 636	1 056	1.55×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	4.50%	3.62%	1.24×
Engagement rate	0.56%	1.71%	0.33×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

1.9K31 Aug

1.5K

1.7K

1.6K

1.7K

1.4K

649

4.4K4 Sep

1.1K

717

713

500

246 Sep

3.7K11 Sep

Last 14 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.72%31 Aug

0.55%

0.63%

1.59%

0.82%

0.92%

0.77%

0.41%4 Sep

0.54%

0.84%

0.56%

1.00%

0.00%6 Sep

0.48%11 Sep

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.71%.

What the audience does

Likes62.1%180 in total

Reposts9.0%26 in total

Replies11.4%33 in total

Bookmarks17.6%51 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

Against accounts of the same size

Growth & engagement

Views per post

Engagement rate per post

What the audience does

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