Nate Silver ✓
@NateSilver538 · New York · joined 27 Aug 2008
Silver Bulletin, not the only thing I'm doing but the main thing and the best thing! https://t.co/mYtb4rgUyT
3 040 470Followers
1 761Following
45 077Posts total
1.3MViews on collected posts
Against accounts of the same size
6 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 1M–10M follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.
| Metric | This account | Median for 1M–10M | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median views per post | 122 124 | 66 438 | 1.84× |
| Reach (views ÷ followers) | 4.02% | 2.70% | 1.49× |
| Engagement rate | 0.30% | 1.45% | 0.21× |
Latest posts
We're back, not that we ever really went anywhere! The STILL COUNTING podcast with the old FiveThiryEight Politics Podcast crew (me, Galen and Clare) launches soon.
In fact, there should be a teaser episode that drops in the feed later today.
88.8K views · 480 likes
· 20 reposts · 18 replies
02 Sep 2026
Look I believe in the whole moderates win more often controlling for other factors thing blah blah blah but I don't see why this is a bad message and I don't see why AES should be taking messaging lessons from ... Chuck Schumer's Super PAC?!?
234.3K views · 1.1K likes
· 48 reposts · 23 replies
01 Sep 2026
Usually, if our model gets out late, it's because something weird happened in Alaska, and today was no exception. FLIPR thinks Begich dropping out will help Democrats in the AK-Gov race. It also renders all of the previous polling basically useless, though. https://t.co/TYGy5xNng
100.3K views · 275 likes
· 21 reposts · 6 replies
01 Sep 2026
A non-zero percent chance Schumer and/or his Super Pac ask AES to spend rest of cycle deep in Mackinac woods (at the lodge Grand has) while they handle messaging
https://t.co/qni0NsaWkP
668.1K views · 248 likes
· 19 reposts · 284 replies
31 Aug 2026
We haven't focused on gubernatorial races as much, so that's the subject of today's newsletter. If everything goes right for Democrats, they could wind up governing states that cover 2/3 of the US population.
https://t.co/zczZuTYp7u
98K views · 195 likes
· 47 reposts · 13 replies
28 Aug 2026
Current builds of GPT are much more persistent than Claude. It's a very noticeable difference. For my use cases (mostly programming and data retrieval of various kinds), that's probably net helpful 80-90% of the time.
144K views · 419 likes
· 6 reposts · 17 replies
27 Aug 2026
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