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CA ET Nerd

@earlyvotedata · United States · joined 21 Oct 2018

Election Twitter Nerd, I do election analysis/predictions on my own for fun. History Buff.

13 353Followers
4 060Following
95 091Posts total
1.1MViews on collected posts

Against accounts of the same size

7 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. shown to more people than peers of the same size.

Median views9 293this account2 896median for 10K–100K
Reach, %69.59%this account9.51%median for 10K–100K
Engagement, %1.57%this account1.56%median for 10K–100K
MetricThis accountMedian for 10K–100KRatio
Median views per post9 2932 8963.21×
Reach (views ÷ followers)69.59%9.51%7.32×
Engagement rate1.57%1.56%1.01×

Others in this range →   Compare with another account →   How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

963.9K8 Nov
19.8K3 Sep
9.3K
7.3K
27.4K
5.3K
42.6K
4.7K

Last 8 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.03%8 Nov
0.57%3 Sep
2.61%
2.41%
0.27%
1.57%
0.64%
3.18%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.56%.

What the audience does

Likes80.2%1 169 in total
Reposts6.9%100 in total
Replies6.1%89 in total
Quotes2.2%32 in total
Bookmarks4.7%68 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

Believable. And early September. Sand below 50% too. Keep watching the trend as R leaning voters wake up for the election season. 4.7K views · 133 likes · 8 reposts · 10 replies 03 Sep 2026 IOWA POLL By Emerson (A) SENATE 🟥 Ashley Hinson: 50% 🟦 Josh Turek: 45% —— GOVERNOR 🟦 Rob Sand: 49% 🟥 Zach Lahn: 46% 8/31-9/1 | 750 LV https://t.co/T7YdWlLdUY https://t.co/7PHSDlhz3o 42.6K views · 208 likes · 35 reposts · 17 replies 03 Sep 2026 If Taylor Swift endorses the Democrats again, this surely can get close like 2018… https://t.co/r6ulDUqHlW 5.3K views · 81 likes · 0 reposts · 2 replies 03 Sep 2026 Targoz Market Research / Beacon Center of Tennessee poll | 8/15-8/26 LV Tennessee statewide races 2026 Tennessee Governor 🟥Marsha Blackburn 55% 🟦Jerri Green 34% — US Senate 🟥Bill Hagerty 58% (incumbent) 🟦Marquita Bradshaw 33% —— President Trump approval (Tennessee) https://t. 27.4K views · 52 likes · 9 reposts · 5 replies 03 Sep 2026 Midterm surprise? https://t.co/mDNalFK4lO 7.3K views · 147 likes · 5 reposts · 23 replies 03 Sep 2026 Elon shelling out the big bucks! ;) 9.3K views · 212 likes · 16 reposts · 14 replies 03 Sep 2026 First major Elon spending of 2026 👇 Texas Senate: 248k Maine Senate: 170k Ohio Senate: 106k New Hampshire Senate: 91k Iowa Senate: 55k Michigan Senate: 26k Alaska Senate: 17k PA-8: 13k PA-10: 12k PA-7: 12k NJ-7: 11k NY-17: 11k VA-2: 10k WI-3: 10k FL-25: 9k 19.8K views · 94 likes · 8 reposts · 7 replies 03 Sep 2026 2024 Total Predictions Summary: 11/8 Presidential: 17/17 Correct Calls. Got 312 Electoral Votes Swing State Miss Average: 1.05% Total State Miss Average: 1.13% Senate: 7/9 (waiting on AZ Senate for 10th) Calls Correct Swing State Miss Average: 1.08% Total State Miss Average: 963.9K views · 242 likes · 19 reposts · 11 replies 08 Nov 2024

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