Ernie Tedeschi ✓

@ernietedeschi

Personal account. Chief economist at @Stripe. Former Director of Economics at @The_Budget_Lab. Former Chief Economist at @WhiteHouseCEA.

41 471Followers

2 370Following

18 504Posts total

947.9KViews on collected posts

Against accounts of the same size

4 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.

Median views21 816this account3 383median for 10K–100K

Reach, %52.60%this account10.96%median for 10K–100K

Engagement, %0.58%this account1.40%median for 10K–100K

Metric	This account	Median for 10K–100K	Ratio
Median views per post	21 816	3 383	6.45×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	52.60%	10.96%	4.80×
Engagement rate	0.58%	1.40%	0.41×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

903.9K31 Aug

41.6K

3251 Sep

Last 4 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.34%31 Aug

0.70%

0.45%

1.85%1 Sep

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.40%.

What the audience does

Likes73.3%2 519 in total

Reposts5.6%193 in total

Replies11.9%408 in total

Quotes8.4%288 in total

Bookmarks0.8%27 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

@ernietedeschi Agree @ernietedeschi but even less likely is that we could have a +1% rise in trend productivity growth sustained for a long time without interest rates rising 1-for-1 with that increase in returns to investment. So, growing out way out of it requires something mor 325 views · 5 likes · 0 reposts · 1 replies 01 Sep 2026 For comparison, here is @USCBO's potential total factor productivity growth measure during the 1995-2005 dot com boom. We **peaked** at a ~ +1pp boost to TFP growth for three years: 1999 thru 2001. The other dot com years were still above pre-boom growth but short of +1pp. http 2K views · 9 likes · 0 reposts · 0 replies 31 Aug 2026 You would need an extra full percentage point of additional total factor productivity growth every year for the next 10 years just to stabilize debt-to-GDP. It's plausible we may get that magnitude of boost from AI for *some* years. But I would not bet we get that for *ten* years 41.6K views · 236 likes · 29 reposts · 21 replies 31 Aug 2026 BESSENT: ONLY WAY TO GET OUT OF DEBT IS TO GROW OUR WAY OUT OF DEBT 903.9K views · 2.3K likes · 164 reposts · 386 replies 31 Aug 2026