Tarek Mansour ✓

@mansourtarek_ · New York · joined 17 Feb 2021

MIT Math Nerd.

78 594Followers

2 433Following

7 579Posts total

2.3MViews on collected posts

Against accounts of the same size

7 posts from the last 90 days, next to the 10K–100K follower range. shown widely, but few of those viewers react.

Median views184 122this account2 896median for 10K–100K

Reach, %234.27%this account9.51%median for 10K–100K

Engagement, %0.32%this account1.56%median for 10K–100K

Metric	This account	Median for 10K–100K	Ratio
Median views per post	184 122	2 896	63.6×
Reach (views ÷ followers)	2.3× audience	9.51%	24.6×
Engagement rate	0.32%	1.56%	0.21×

Others in this range → Compare with another account → How these benchmarks are built →

Growth & engagement

How the posts we collected actually performed: views and reaction rate post by post, what the audience did with them, and where the follower count goes.

Views per post

197.5K7 Aug

440.9K12 Aug

49.5K13 Aug

86.8K

1.2M20 Aug

184.1K2 Sep

96K

Last 7 collected posts, oldest on the left. The scale is logarithmic: one post can outrun the rest a hundred times over.

Engagement rate per post

0.58%7 Aug

0.32%12 Aug

0.39%13 Aug

0.32%

0.15%20 Aug

0.23%2 Sep

0.38%

Reactions — likes, reposts, replies and quotes — divided by views. Median for 10K–100K accounts is 1.56%.

What the audience does

Likes68.1%4 717 in total

Reposts6.4%446 in total

Replies4.3%301 in total

Quotes3.0%211 in total

Bookmarks18.1%1 253 in total

Share of every reaction we collected for this account. Replies mean argument, reposts mean endorsement, bookmarks mean the post was worth keeping.

The follower curve appears once this account has two daily snapshots — we take one a day, and this one is on its first.

Latest posts

This is a good example of the power of free markets. Prediction market exchanges are not the only way for sports insurers to offload risk. They could go to specialty re-insurers. But they're expensive, opaque, and limited to large clients. They also often decide not to take on 96K views · 331 likes · 16 reposts · 18 replies 02 Sep 2026 Institutional finance has poured more than $60 billion into sports since 2019, across franchises, leagues, media rights, and venues. Sports is now an asset class. When that much capital rides on game outcomes, you have to hedge it. LSU owes Lane Kiffin a $3M bonus if LSU wins 184.1K views · 362 likes · 37 reposts · 20 replies 02 Sep 2026 We ran a study on over 2 million markets to evaluate their calibration. To our knowledge, this is the largest replicable study on this topic. Here are the results: 🧵 https://t.co/mUwLspNWoL 1.2M views · 1.4K likes · 213 reposts · 101 replies 20 Aug 2026 Esoteric or niche hedges are difficult through traditional insurers or re-insurers. Competitive exchanges make it possible by matching those who have the risk but cannot bear it with those who do not have the risk but are actively looking for idiosyncratic returns. 86.8K views · 253 likes · 7 reposts · 14 replies 13 Aug 2026 Meet Tim Arrowsmith, the man behind the strangest financial transaction of 2026. Tim is a goat herder in Redding, California, about five hours north of San Francisco close to the Oregon border. He lives outside of a small town in an area historically known as “Poverty Flats” 49.5K views · 141 likes · 33 reposts · 18 replies 13 Aug 2026 Yesterday Kalshi priced the Wisconsin Democratic Primary at 95–5. The 5% candidate won. Before the "prediction markets got it wrong" headlines roll in: a 5% probability doesn't mean it won't happen. It means it should happen 1 in 20 times. If 5% candidates never won, the markets 440.9K views · 1.1K likes · 125 reposts · 106 replies 12 Aug 2026 2026 journalism: > define agenda: “PMs are terrible” > handpick ppl to validate. ignore everyone else > write 197.5K views · 1.1K likes · 15 reposts · 24 replies 07 Aug 2026